|
Young
Earth Creation Organization Mutation calculations for the largest protein in the
world Largest Protein
Calculations Around November 19th of 2008, Brock Lee calculated the number of mutations what would be needed to randomly create the largest protein in the world (which, according to Ian Juby’s The Complete Creation Part 12, is 26,926 amino acids long). The calculations took about half an hour to complete, and revealed that the required mutation number is 3.417x10^35031. That’s correct: 3 followed by 35031 zeros, or more precisely, 3417 followed by 35028 zeros. This is a massive number, and shows the incredible intricacy of the creation and the impossibility of evolution. In other words, before creating even the most complex protein, there would have to be more than 1x10^35000 calculations per second. To beat the point to death, or as Ian Juby says, to flog the fossil equines, Brock gave evolutionists 1 quadrillion times the amount of time that they claim for the universe. It is still more than 1 x10^34998 calculations per second. Evolution is impossible. From the Beginning I (Brock) had begun to tutor some children for a friend of mine, and also interested in creation science myself, I purchased a copy of Ian Juby’s The Complete Creation. I decided that I would make up packets to go with each part so that I could grade them based on that (it is kind of hard to grade on discussion when your material is 12 hours long and there are only 2 in your class). This would also provide a more structured learning environment, as they would have to pay greater attention to detail. Now some people must be wondering what this has to do with my calculations. Well, I’m getting to that. First, I watched the DVD’s through myself. I then watched it again and took notes, writing down possible questions. It was while writing down the questions that I first thought that I could solve the posed problem. Ian put up the calculations for a protein 200 amino acids long (a very simple protein). He then announced that the largest known protein in the world was 26,926 amino acids long, and said, “Anybody want to do the math on how long it’s going to take to do that one? Or how many random tries per second you are going to need to do to make it? You’re welcome to, but I’m not big onto math so I’ll let you guys do that.” Of course, I graciously accepted his challenge. I flipped in my tablet to a blank page, made some scribbles trying to estimate what I would have to do to get it, and gave up on it (at that time). I decided to wait for a while, because I had college work and other things to do. About 2 months later, after I had finished typing up the question sheets, and had foolishly not written down the answers when I wrote down the question, I printed off the packets and went through the series filling in the answers myself. I then began to type them into a duplicate of the question sheet master (to produce a master key) when as so often happens with me, the seed that was planted blossomed in my mind. When I had tried before, I attempted to do the calculations with a TI-83 Plus calculator, which is limited to the 99th power. I knew (d’uh) that a computer has more power than a calculator, and when I tested it, Microsoft Excel could do to the 236th power. This would save me hundreds of calculations. I began playing around with a spreadsheet, thinking about equations, etc. At first I had hoped that it would be a one-step process, but 26926 as a power exceeded Excel’s processing abilities. But I liked challenges that were fun and useful. Challenges that aren’t fun are work, and those that aren’t useful are waste. It is rare that the two combine, but for me, they did combine into this problem. Segment Mathematics Okay, so there may be a technical name for it, but I don’t know it. Basically, a unique property of exponents allows math problems involving them to be divided up and to be processed in segments much easier and faster than the whole thing. Playing on this unique property, I was able to set up a table 4 columns wide and about 120 rows tall. The rows included numbers and labels above the columns, so not all of them went into the calculations, but 115 of them did. Okay, most of the people reading probably need a crash course in exponents and this property of theirs (because if you don’t understand this property, you are liable to think I’m just making things up). Let’s look at a simple example: 20x20. This was the first step I took because there are 20 different types of amino acids, so 20 was the base number that had to be taken to the exponent for my equations. 20x20=400, correct? Each of the numbers can break down this way: 2x10^1. If we take the different parts and do the math separately, we can multiply 2x2, and add the exponents to get 2. In other words, the equation can be rewritten as below: (2x10^1)x(2x10^1)=(2x2)x10^(1+1)=(4)x10^(2)=4x10^2, or 400 If you don’t understand this, you should check out both the equation and number versions of the result table. For now, please trust me that this is correct, because in a moment or two you will be able to see the result and check it yourself. And if you’re saying, “but I’m not that good at math”, the broken down table uses equations that are, for the most part, no more difficult than elementary school math. The Equations I used some very simple equations, listed below: =20^236 =A#*20^236 =sum(C4:C118) =sum(D4:D118) The first simply takes 20 to the 236th power (Remember that the = in front tells Excel that it needs to carry out a calculation and not just display what I typed in). This equation was in B4. I then took the number, 1.1043E+307 (E+307 is the way Excel displays x10^307). I typed the front numbers, 1.1043, into A5. Then the second equation took that number in A5 and multiplied it by 20^236. I took the 236 (the number of exponent that was already calculated) and put it in column D, where these would be tallied until they reached the desired limit, 26926. I also took the 307 and put this number into column C, where this column, representing the number of zeroes, would be kept. Now, I didn’t actually do it one at a time. I actually went column by column for about 30 rows at a time, but you get the idea. By the way, this was the 2nd or 3rd spreadsheet that I had tried this on, each time modifying the equations and setup a little until it worked, so if you don’t succeed at first, keep trying like I did. Find your problems from the previous tries, and plan well to overcome them. You may encounter new problems, but at least you won’t encounter old ones again. Finally, the last row only needed 20^22 to reach the 26926 requirement, so the last equation had to be modified to accommodate. The Results The results I got are as follows. The first table is that of the numbers, the second shows the equations.
Data Analysis The number of random changes required to make this protein is 3.417x10^35031. Now, that is kind of difficult to understand. That is where the data analysis comes in. Evolutionists claim that the universe is 20 billion years old. Let’s do the math 20,000,000,000 years X 365 days X 24 hours X 60 minutes X 60 seconds = 630,720,000,000,000,000 seconds in 20 billion years, or 6.3072x10^17 seconds. So we have this many seconds: 630,720,000,000,000,000 To make this many random changes: Click here to open a txt file with the entire number written out. That means there would have to be 5.4188x10^35013 random tries per second. This is absolutely impossible. Now, the future will most definitely see an increase in the claimed age of the universe by evolutionists. For example, 2 years ago, the age was believed to be 13-14 billion. Now it is 18-20 billion. The last 2 years have dramatically increased the claimed age, so the coming years must also see the same. To completely flog this fossil equine, I gave the evolutionists a major advantage – 1 quadrillion times the amount of time they claim now, or to give it a label, 20 septillion. If we do the math now, we see: 20,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years X 365 days X 24 hours X 60 minutes X 60 seconds = 630,720,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 seconds in 20 septillion years, or 6.3072x10^32 seconds. Now go compare that number to the written out number. You will see that this number, even having the extra 15 zeros, is still woefully inadequate to allow this. That still means there would have to be 5.4188x10^34998 random tries per second. This is still absolutely impossible. To put this in perspective, 5x10^243 (the odds for randomly creating a protein 200 amino acids long) is impossible. Anything over 1x10^80 (the number of electrons in the universe, and so the maximum number of combinations) is impossible. Do you see how absolutely impossible this is? Conclusion Evolution is absolutely, unequivocally, unquestionably, completely, and wholly impossible. If evolution was not needed to cause things such as this do exist, it was not needed to create the larger things. Isaiah 29:16 – Surely your turning of things upside
down shall be esteemed as the potter's clay: for shall the work say of him
that made it, He made me not? or shall the thing
framed say of him that framed it, He had no understanding? |